Tag: Election

Three years ago today the main stream media thought the battle was over and that they had won the war. They thought that the power they held over the masses was so strong that never again would anyone challenge their narrative. They thought they had total control over a simple and mindless people.

Ladies and Gentlemen, via the wonders of the Intertubes (where nothing ever goes completely away) for your reading pleasure I give you the July 25, 2016 article in Newsweek. My snippet below, full article here.

With the Republican Party now saddled with Donald Trump as their presidential nominee and the party in total disarray as a result, the long-term damage to the GOP is growing, even if it keeps the name it has had since 1854.

No one who is a realist, including this author, now thinks Trump can win any “blue” state. And the odds of any 2012 “swing state” being gained by the Republican nominee seems extremely unlikely.

That would mean, at the least, Hillary Clinton would have the same result in the Electoral College that Barack Obama had in 2012, when the president won 332 electoral votes to Mitt Romney’s 206. And the danger to the Republican Party is far worse than that.

With the rapidly growing Latino and Hispanic population and vote in several “red” states, the odds are increasing that the Democrats could add North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona to their total, particularly with Trump’s hostile attitude toward Mexico and Mexicans.

His proposal for a wall on the Mexican border and his vicious attack on the judge presiding over the Trump University lawsuit, who happens to be a Mexican-American born in Indiana, ensures that Mexican-Americans, who are two-thirds of all Hispanics in America, will vote for Clinton in higher percentages than for Obama in 2012.

Add the growing Puerto Rican population, the second-highest Hispanic numbers in America, and it seems likely that the total Hispanic vote percentage for Clinton could be higher than the 71 percent for Obama in 2012. Clinton could carry all three states and add 42 electoral votes, making a total of 374 electoral votes against Trump’s 164.

But a bit more long range, Texas is likely to transform back into a “blue” state by 2024, while North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona will be even more heavily Latino and Hispanic than they are in 2016. So add 38 Texas electoral votes and Democrats get 412 electoral votes to 126 for the Republicans by 2024.

One can also add Indiana with its 11 electoral votes. Indiana, though likely to vote Republican in 2016, may become reliably “blue” by 2024 at the latest, given its growing Hispanic population. In 2008, Indiana even voted for Obama (though not in 2012). That would make for 423 electoral votes for the Democrats to 115 for the GOP.